tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7709091161384163345.post1706109603626533410..comments2022-01-04T15:08:27.643+00:00Comments on 'KIN Bloggin': Great TV ratings, but a disservice to the wisdom of crowdsphilridouthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09426066903780907716noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7709091161384163345.post-84870109481094428922009-09-14T23:52:59.085+01:002009-09-14T23:52:59.085+01:00I didn't see the original show on Wednesday, b...I didn't see the original show on Wednesday, but did see the "How it was done". I thought that hour's show on Friday was pure misdirection - given there was no reveal of the numbers until <b>after</b> the draw, I'm overwhelmingly convinced he used some sleight of hand to substitute the right numbered balls.<br /><br />The Lottery not permitting him to broadcast the numbers in advance was a neat excuse, but can't believe he couldn't have secured some independent observers, put the numbers in a sealed envelope or suchlike. <br /><br />To be honest rather than the misrepresentation of prediction markets, I was more upset about the hand-waving involved in the maths. The sequence-of-three coin tosses game is completely genuine - look up Penney's Game - but it had no connection at all with any of the rest of the program! It's not going to help people take a rational approach to risk & probability with programs like that...Jim Millenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15993973541721963557noreply@blogger.com